The defenseman took a bridge deal with the Washington Capitals following his sophomore season.


The Washington Capitals re-signed defenseman Martin Fehervary to a three-year contract on Tuesday, which carries a $2.68M cap hit.

While all of our designated RFAs from the Top-50 Free Agents are receiving a projection article for their upcoming contract, Fehervary signed his deal before the projection was released. So instead, we’ll take a look at comparable contracts to evaluate how the deal looks for the Capitals, and whether it carries fair value.


Player Overview

Selected 46th in the 2018 NHL Draft, Martin Fehervary made the jump to North America in 2019.

From there, the defenseman spent the majority of the 2019-20 and 2020-21 seasons in the AHL, playing with the Hershey Bears. By the 2021-22 season though, Fehervary earned a role with the Washington Capitals and went on to play 79 games with the team in his rookie season. The defender was already playing nearly 20 minutes per game, and even eared a single fifth-place Calder Trophy vote.

This year, Fehervary continued to play a big role on Washington’s blue line. He played in a very defensive role and faced the second-highest quality of competition of any defenseman on the team, according to Hockey Abstract.


Comparables

Below, we’ll take a look at contracts of different lengths for defensemen with around the same NHL experience and stats, to analyze Fehervary’s deal. The comparables will include players who played the first year of their contract (min. $2M cap hit) between 22 and to 26 years old, from 2016 onwards.

Note: All ages listed are related to how old the player was by Dec. 31 in the first year of their contract.

8 YEARS

An eight-year deal was extremely unlikely for Fehervary, and you rarely see that length of a contract of a defenseman with his age and experience.

PlayerAgeFirst Year
of Contract
Signing
Year P/82
Career
P/82
Signing
Year TOI
Career
TOI
ContractOn $83.5M
Cap Hit
Martin Fehervary24202320
(67GP)
18
(152GP)
20:0019:40
Thomas Chabot23202064
(70GP)
49
(134GP)
24:1720:58$8.00M
8 years
$8.20M
8 years
Mike Matheson24201817
(81GP)
17
(84GP)
21:0320:56$4.88M
8 years
$5.13M
8 years
*Mikey Anderson24202319
(55GP)
16
(172GP)
21:4920:55$4.13M
8 years
$4.13M
8 years
*Deal signed mid-season – Points/82 pace prior to signing are used for signing year stats.

While he never would’ve earned Chabot money, there are two decent comparables in Matheson and Anderson, which would’ve put Fehervary between a range of $4.13M to $5.13M on an eight-year deal. It’s hard to firgure out which deal he’d be most comparable to, but Anderson’s $4.13 per-year deal was by far the most recent contract and perhaps the best comp as a result.


7 YEARS

While there are more players around Fehervary’s age who signed seven-year deals, again, it was very unlikely he’d get that term.

PlayerAgeFirst Year
of Contract
Signing
Year P/82
Career
P/82
Signing
Year TOI
Career
TOI
ContractOn $83.5M
Cap Hit
Martin Fehervary24202320
(67GP)
18
(152GP)
20:0019:40
**Adam Fox24202272
(64GP)
60
(134GP)
24:3921:39$9.50M
7 years
$9.62M
7 years
Jaccob Slavin24201834
(82GP)
31
(145GP)
23:2622:22$5.30M
7 years
$5.57M
7 years
Shea Theodore23201839
(61GP)
33
(114GP)
20:2119:14$5.20M
7 years
$5.46M
7 years
Samuel Girard22202027
(82GP)
26
(155GP)
19:5418:50$5.00M
7 years
$5.12M
7 years
Nikita Zaitsev26201736
(82GP)
36
(82GP)
22:0122:01$4.50M
7 years
$5.01M
7 years
Oscar Klefbom23201627
(60GP)
24
(77GP)
22:0020:38$4.17M
7 years
$4.77M
7 years
Mattias Samuelson23202320
(42GP)
18
(54GP)
20:0019:33$4.28M
7 years
$4.28M
7 years
** Deal signed early into season – stats from that year before signing, as well as previous year are combined for Signing Year stats

Looking at the comps, most had more value than Fehervary at the time of signing. However, the one player who stands out as a near perfect comp at the time of signing was Mattias Samuelsson.

Samuelsson had identical production in his signing year and over his career, along with identical signing year ice time and almost identical career ice time. While Fehervary had much more NHL experience at the time of signing and may have had a deal come in higher as a result, Samuelsson’s $4.28M cap hit represents a very good range for what Fehervary could have made on a seven-year deal.


6 YEARS

Looking at the six-year comps, again, most players had better stats than Fehervary.

PlayerAgeFirst Year
of Contract
Signing
Year P/82
Career
P/82
Signing
Year TOI
Career
TOI
ContractOn $83.5M
Cap Hit
Martin Fehervary24202320
(67GP)
18
(152GP)
20:0019:40
Cale Makar23202182
(44GP)
76
(101GP)
24:1922:27$9.00M
6 years
$9.22M
6 years
Quinn Hughes22202160
(56GP)
62
(129GP)
22:4822:08$7.85M
6 years
$8.04M
6 years
Brady Skjei24201825
(82GP)
31
(169GP)
21:0219:12$5.25M
6 years
$5.51M
6 years
Shayne Gostisbehere24201742
(76GP)
49
(142GP)
19:3619:43$4.50M
6 years
$5.01M
6 years
Jakob Chychrun21201923
(50GP)
24
(118GP)
20:1518:11$4.60M
6 years
$4.71M
6 years
Rasmus Andersson24202026
(70GP)
21
(160GP)
19:5617:43$4.55M
6 years
$4.66M
6 years
Damon Severson23201732
(80GP)
28
(203GP)
20:2119:59$4.17M
6 years
$4.64M
6 years
Brian Dumoulin26201718
(70GP)
17
(163GP)
20:3319:27$4.10M
6 years
$4.56M
6 years
John Marino24202121
(52GP)
30
(108GP)
20:4420:29$4.40M
6 years
$4.51M
6 years
**Mattias Ekholm26201620
(88GP)
16
(153GP)
18:5617:58$3.75M
6 years
$4.29M
6 years
Brett Pesce24201820
(82GP)
20
(151GP)
21:1220:05$4.03M
6 years
$4.13M
6 years
**Zach Whitecloud26202219
(55GP)
16
(72GP)
17:3716:52$2.75M
6 years
$2.78M
6 years
** Deal signed early into season – stats from that year before signing, as well as previous year are combined for Signing Year stats

That said, from Dumoulin down to Whitecloud, we do see other defensemen with more comparable stats, establishing a range of $2.78M to $4.56M for what a six-year deal could’ve looked like for Fehervary. Given what he made on the three-year deal, along with the fact that Dumoulin, Marino, Ekholm and Pesce all had an adjusted cap hit at $4.13M or above, Fehervary would’ve still been expected to reach around the $4M range on a six-year deal.


5 YEARS

PlayerAgeFirst Year
of Contract
Signing
Year P/82
Career
P/82
Signing
Year TOI
Career
TOI
ContractOn $83.5M
Cap Hit
Martin Fehervary24202320
(67GP)
18
(152GP)
20:0019:40
Colton Parayko24201735
(81GP)
35
(160GP)
21:1220:18$5.50M
5 years
$6.12M
5 years
David Savard26201636
(82GP)
27
(187GP)
22:5719:46$4.25M
5 years
$4.86M
5 years
Simon Despres25201625
(75GP)
20
(160GP)
16:5216:11$3.70M
5 years
$4.23M
5 years
*Marcus Pettersson24202025
(50GP)
23
(156GP)
19:2217:03$4.03M
5 years
$4.13M
5 years
*Deal signed mid-season – Points/82 pace prior to signing are used for signing year stats.

Five years is where Fehervary may have dropped below a $4M cap hit. He’s most comparable to Despres and Pettersson who had very similar experience, but slightly higher production. That said, Fehervary’s ice time may have be an argument as to why he could’ve still hit $4M.


4 YEARS

PlayerAgeFirst Year
of Contract
Signing
Year P/82
Career
P/82
Signing
Year TOI
Career
TOI
ContractOn $83.5M
Cap Hit
Martin Fehervary24202320
(67GP)
18
(152GP)
20:0019:40
Tyson Barrie25201652
(78GP)
48
(264GP)
23:1221:06$5.50M
4 years
$6.29M
4 years
Neal Pionk26202149
(54GP)
24
(226GP)
21:5822:12$5.88M
4 years
$6.02M
4 years
Torey Krug 25201645
(81GP)
43
(241GP)
21:3719:33$5.25M
4 years
$6.01M
4 years
Sami Vatanen25201644
(71GP)
41
(194GP)
21:1920:11$4.88M
4 years
$5.58M
4 years
Devon Toews26202034
(68GP)
33
(116GP)
20:3119:26$4.10M
4 years
$4.20M
4 years
Colin Miller26201841
(82GP)
31
(185GP)
19:2117:22$3.88M
4 years
$4.08M
4 years
Radko Gudas26201615
(76GP)
19
(202GP)
19:5118:50$3.35M
4 years
$3.83M
4 years
Matt Grzelcyk26202025
(68GP)
22
(197GP)
18:0417:57$3.69M
4 years
$3.78M
4 years
*Markus Nutivaara24201831
(60GP)
20
(126GP)
16:0914:37$2.70M
4 years
$2.84M
4 years
Sean Walker26202028
(70GP)
26
(109GP)
18:5017:37$2.65M
4 years
$2.72M
4 years
Jeremy Lauzon2520229
(66GP)
10
(142GP)
17:4017:26$2.00M
4 years
$2.02M
4 years
*Deal signed mid-season – Points/82 pace prior to signing are used for signing year stats.

Based on comparables for a four-year deal, Fehervary’s production (and ice time, for the most part), was drastically lower than players listed from Barrie down to Miller. However, he would’ve had more value than Lauzon, and closer comparables are present from Sean Walker’s $2.72M adjusted cap hit to Radko Gudas’ $3.83M cap hit.

Considering Fehervary got $2.67M for three years, he almost surely would’ve been above $3M, but the question would be how close he could’ve gotten to Gudas and Grzelyck’s $3.8M adjusted cap hit.


3 YEARS

Three years was an ideal term for the team, given they get the player for multiple years at a reasonable cap hit, but he’ll still be a restricted free agent when the contract expires.

PlayerAgeFirst Year
of Contract
Signing
Year P/82
Career
P/82
Signing
Year TOI
Career
TOI
ContractOn $83.5M
Cap Hit
Martin Fehervary24202320
(67GP)
18
(152GP)
20:0019:40
Charlie McAvoy22201943
(54GP)
42
(117GP)
22:1022:10$4.90M
3 years
$5.02M
3 years
Noah Dobson22202252
(80GP)
37
(160GP)
21:2818:16$4.00M
3 years
$4.05M
3 years
Will Butcher24201932
(78GP)
38
(159GP)
19:1617:38$3.73M
3 years
$3.82M
3 years
Mackenzie Weegar26202033
(45GP)
20
(172GP)
20:0716:58$3.25M
3 years
$3.33M
3 years
Ryan Graves25202031
(69GP)
27
(95GP)
18:5716:48$3.17M
3 years
$3.25M
3 years
*Matt Roy26202123
(25GP)
21
(120GP)
19:3218:12$3.15M
3 years
$3.23M
3 years
Erik Cernak23202015
(67GP)
18
(125GP)
18:5719:05$2.95M
3 years
$3.20M
3 years
Ryan Lindgren23202126
(51GP)
21
(116GP)
20:0017:59$3.00M
3 years
$3.07M
3 years
Mark Pysyk25201717
(82GP)
17
(207GP)
18:3417:51$2.73M
3 years
$3.04M
3 years
Vladislav Gavrikov25202021
(69GP)
21
(69GP)
18:5918:59$2.80M
3 years
$2.87M
3 years
Carson Soucy26202021
(55GP)
20
(58GP)
15:3815:35$2.75M
3 years
$2.82M
3 years
Andrew Peeke25202315
(82GP)
15
(115GP)
21:2919:36$2.75M
3 years
$2.75M
3 years
Gustav Forsling25202132
(43GP)
22
(165GP)
19:5717:49$2.67M
3 years
$2.74M
3 years
Adam Boqvist 22202235
(52GP)
33
(128GP)
17:0316:46$2.60M
3 years
$2.63M
3 years
Philippe Myers23202026
(50GP)
21
(71GP)
17:0616:36$2.55M
3 years
$2.61M
3 years
Henri Jokiharju22202114
(46GP)
19
(153GP)
18:2318:00$2.50M
3 years
$2.56M
3 years
Alexander Romanov22202213
(79GP)
12
(133GP)
20:2419:07$2.50M
3 years
$2.53M
3 years
Jacob Middleton26202217
(66GP)
17
(80GP)
18:4117:15$2.45M
3 years
$2.48M
3 years
Stephen Johns26201816
(75GP)
15
(150GP)
17:3317:52$2.35M
3 years
$2.47M
3 years
Jake Bean23202123
(42GP)
22
(44GP)
14:3214:16$2.33M
3 years
$2.39M
3 years
Jamie Oleksiak26201821
(68GP)
16
(187GP)
16:4015:25$2.14M
3 years
$2.25M
3 years
*Deal signed mid-season – Points/82 pace prior to signing are used for signing year stats.

We can understand that Fehervary’s three-year deal was always going to come below Graves’ $3.25M cap hit, given any player above that point had better production and usually better ice time as well.

That said, it’s easy to see why he was going to come in above Jokiharju’s $2.55M cap hit, with players below that point having even lower production and ice time.

Even looking at the $2.55M to $3.25M range, Fehervary had more ice time than many other comps within that range. As a result, Fehervary’s $2.68M cap hit arguably comes in on the lower end of where it could’ve been.


2 YEARS

PlayerAgeFirst Year
of Contract
Signing
Year P/82
Career
P/82
Signing
Year TOI
Career
TOI
ContractOn $83.5M
Cap Hit
Martin Fehervary24202320
(67GP)
18
(152GP)
20:0019:40
Ryan Pulock26202042
(68GP)
38
(234GP)
22:2420:43$5.00M
2 years
$5.12M
2 years
Bowen Byram22202347
(42GP)
39
(91GP)
21:5319:54$3.85M
2 years
$3.85M
2 years
Jacob Trouba22201622
(81GP)
28
(211GP)
19:1918:54$3.00M
2 years
$3.43M
2 years
Darnell Nurse23201826
(82GP)
20
(197GP)
22:1520:19$3.20M
2 years
$3.36M
2 years
Travis Sanheim23201935
(82GP)
28
(131GP)
19:3418:04$3.25M
2 years
$3.33M
2 years
Josh Morrissey23201826
(81GP)
23
(164GP)
20:2719:57$3.15M
2 years
$3.31M
2 years
*Ryan Murray23201625
(56GP)
25
(134GP)
22:3120:54$2.83M
2 years
$3.24M
2 years
Cody Ceci23201628
(75GP)
22
(205GP)
19:1818:48$2.80M
2 years
$3.20M
2 years
Matt Dumba22201626
(81GP)
24
(152GP)
16:5015:46$2.55M
2 years
$2.92M
2 years
Nathan Beaulieu25201731
(74GP)
22
(225GP)
19:2917:15$2.40M
2 years
$2.67M
2 years
**Derek Forbort26201819
(88GP)
18
(102GP)
20:1218:56$2.53M
2 years
$2.66M
2 years
Oliver Kylington25202235
(73GP)
23
(168GP)
18:1015:21$2.50M
2 years
$2.53M
2 years
Artem Zub26202124
(47GP)
24
(47GP)
18:2318:23$2.50M
2 years
$2.56M
2 years
Nate Schmidt26201723
(60GP)
18
(200GP)
15:2916:34$2.23M
2 years
$2.48M
2 years
Dante Fabbro23202125
(40GP)
18
(108GP)
19:1918:54$2.40M
2 years
$2.46M
2 years
Esa Lindell23201720
(73GP)
19
(77GP)
21:5221:28$2.20M
2 years
$2.45M
2 years
*Deal signed mid-season – Points/82 pace prior to signing are used for signing year stats.

Looking at the two-year comparables, Fehervary certainly should’ve come in on the lower end of the range above.

From Murray and above, all players typically had better stats, so he was likely coming in below $3.2M. Even below that mark, many players had better production. The most realistic range would’ve been at $2.5M or slightly below, based on the range of comps from Lindell to Zub.


1 YEAR

We typically don’t see one-year bridge deals for players around Fehervary’s age.

PlayerAgeFirst Year
of Contract
Signing
Year P/82
Career
P/82
Signing
Year TOI
Career
TOI
ContractOn $83.5M
Cap Hit
Martin Fehervary24202320
(67GP)
18
(152GP)
20:0019:40
Dmitry Orlov25201629
(82GP)
24
(102GP)
16:0217:13$2.57M
1 year
$2.94M
1 year
Patrik Nemeth26201818
(68GP)
14
(176GP)
19:5117:17$2.50M
1 year
$2.63M
1 year
*Dante Fabbro25202312
(56GP)
20
(230GP)
16:0418:15$2.50M
1 year
$2.50M
1 year
Ethan Bear25202220
(58GP)
20
(190GP)
16:0518:57$2.20M
1 year
$2.23M
1 year
Vince Dunn24202027
(71GP)
30
(224GP)
16:1617:02$1.88M
1 year
$1.93M
1 year
Mikey Anderson23202212
(51GP)
14
(117GP)
20:0720:30$1.00M
1 year
$1.01M
1 year
*Deal signed mid-season – Points/82 pace prior to signing are used for signing year stats.

That said, we can see that based on the comps, he was probably coming in above Mikey Anderson and below Dmitry Orlov but that’s about all we can tell, establishing a range of $1.93M and $2.63M, with a possible one-year deal likely on the lower end of the range.


Final Analysis

A bridge deal is frequently taken for defenders around Fehervary’s age and NHL experience, so it’s not surprising to see that length for his deal. Any contract around five years or longer likely would’ve came in around a $4M cap hit or higher, so committing shorter term at a lower price makes sense, in order to to get a better idea of what kind of player Fehervary is going to be.

Based on comparables above, Fehervary’s likely range for a three-year deal would’ve been between about $2.55M and $3.25M. As a result, Fehervary’s $2.68M deal comes in at an expected number, and potentially slightly lower than it could’ve been.

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