NHL Standard career statistics

				Goalie Stats																			Scoring
Season	Age	Tm	Lg	GP	GS	W	L	T/O	GA	SA	SV	SV%	GAA	SO	MIN	QS	QS%	RBS	GA%-	GSAA	adjGAA	GPS	G	A	PTS	PIM	Awards
2015-16	21	CBJ	NHL	31	30	16	11	4	78	969	891	.920	2.60	0	1803	16	.533	1	95	4.5	3.09	6.3	0	0	0	2
2016-17	22	CBJ	NHL	14	13	7	5	1	38	401	363	.905	2.88	1	791	6	.462	2	110	-3.3	3.34	2.0	0	0	0	0
2017-18	23	CBJ	NHL	18	17	8	8	1	58	564	506	.897	3.32	0	1049	7	.412	3	117	-8.5	3.60	2.2	0	0	0	0
2018-19	24	CBJ	NHL	27	21	10	7	3	67	651	584	.897	2.95	0	1361	8	.381	4	114	-8.3	3.13	2.7	0	0	0	0
2019-20	25	CBJ	NHL	37	35	19	12	5	92	1030	938	.911	2.60	2	2126	21	.600	5	99	1.1	2.77	5.9	0	1	1	0
2020-21	26	CBJ	NHL	33	31	9	13	7	96	904	808	.894	3.30	0	1747	13	.419	8	115	-12.7	3.61	3.9	0	1	1	2
2021-22	27	CBJ	NHL	22	17	7	11	0	78	634	556	.877	4.15	0	1128	5	.294	6	132	-19.0	4.25	1.6	0	0	0	2
2022-23	28	TOT	NHL	39	37	18	14	4	104	1206	1102	.914	2.87	1	2172	24	.649	3	90	11.5	2.90	8.0	0	0	0	0
2022-23	28	CBJ	NHL	28	26	11	11	3	82	926	844	.911	3.17	0	1551	16	.615	2	92	6.7	3.21	5.9	0	0	0	0
2022-23	28	LAK	NHL	11	11	7	3	1	22	280	258	.921	2.13	1	621	8	.727	1			2.13	2.1	0	0	0	0
8 yrs		CBJ	NHL	210	190	87	78	24	589	6079	5490	.903	3.06	3	11556	92	.484	31	108	-41.1	3.31	30.6	0	2	2	6
1 yr		LAK	NHL	11	11	7	3	1	22	280	258	.921	2.13	1	621	8	.727	1	82	4.8	2.13	2.1	0	0	0	0
Career		8 yrs	NHL	221	201	94	81	25	611	6359	5748	.904	3.01	4	12177	100	.498	32	107	-37.9	3.25	32.6	0	2	2	6

So as Korpisalo enters free agency, teams should certainly be wary of his inconsistent results from year to year, but his value has arguably never been higher.

---

What We Know

• As of earlier this month, The Fourth Period’s David Pagnotta reported that there wasn’t much going on between the Kings and Korpisalo regarding a contract extension.
• However, Pierre LeBrun noted the Kings and Korpisalo have had some discussions on a deak.
• The Kings are also presently working without much cap space available.

---

Comparables

Below, we’ll take a look at what Korpisalo’s deal could look like at different lengths.

Note: any age shown on the first year of a deal is based on the player’s age by Dec. 31 in the first season of that contract. Meanwhile, signing year stats are based on a goalie’s numbers in their most recent season before the time in which they signed their contract.

4 YEARS

Four years is probably the longest length we’d see for Korpisalo’s contract. When it comes to goalies around his age who are fairly unproven as starters, four years is pretty much the maximum term given out. Some of the best examples around the same age, starts and percentage of games played in their signing year would be Linus Ullmark, Jake Allen and Scott Darling.

Player	Age at first year of deal	First Year Of Deal	SV%/GP in Signing Year	% of Games Started in Signing Year	SV%/GP over Career	Contract	Adjusted to $83.5M cap
Joonas Korpisalo	29	2023	914 (39GP)	48%	904 (221GP)
Linus Ullmark	28	2021	917 (20GP)	36%	912 (117GP)	$5.00M 4 years	$5.12M 4 years
Jake Allen	27	2017	920 (47GP)	57%	915 (99GP)	$4.35M 4 years	$4.84M 4 years
Scott Darling	29	2017	924 (32GP)	39%	923 (75GP)	$4.15M 4 years	$4.62M 4 years

While Korpisalo does have more career experience than each goalie, his stats both in his signing year, and especially over his career, were lower.

So generally, we can see a pretty defined range of adjusted cap hits of from $4.6M to $5.1M. It’s a bit tough to distinguish where he’d fall within this range, but it seems unlikely that Korpisalo would reach the $5M mark, even on a four-year deal.

Again, the term is unlikely, but always possible.

---

3 YEARS

While four years is possible, three years would be a much more likely term for Korpisalo’s contract.

Player	Age at first year of deal	First Year Of Deal	SV%/GP in Signing Year	% of Games Started in Signing Year	SV%/GP over Career	Contract	Adjusted to $83.5M cap
Joonas Korpisalo	29	2023	914 (39GP)	48%	904 (221GP)
*Steve Mason	26	2014	915 (37GP)	–	906 (276GP)	$4.10M 3 years	$4.96M 3 years
Ville Husso	27	2022	919 (40GP)	49%	912 (57GP)	$4.75M 3 years	$4.81M 3 years
Antti Raanta	29	2018	930 (47GP)	57%	922 (141GP)	$4.25M 3 years	$4.46M 3 years
Jacob Markstrom	27	2017	915 (33GP)	40%	904 (83GP)	$3.67M 3 years	$4.09M 3 years
Petr Mrazek	29	2021	923 (12GP)	21%	911 (275GP)	$3.80M 3 years	$3.89M 3 years
*Thomas Greiss	31	2017	928 (25GP)	53%	919 (155GP)	$3.33M 3 years	$3.71M 3 years
Philipp Grubauer	27	2018	923 (35GP)	43%	923 (101GP)	$3.33M 3 years	$3.50M 3 years
Jonathan Bernier	30	2018	913 (37GP)	45%	914 (289GP)	$3.00M 3 years	$3.15M 3 years
*Anton Forsberg	30	2022	918 (31GP)	50%	908 (87GP)	$2.75M 3 years	$2.78M 3 years

In terms of figuring out an accurate cap hit though, it’s a little less straightforward. There are reasons Korpisalo could make more, or less, than most comparable deals listed.

Starting at the top, Steve Mason had very similar stats to Korpisalo, both in his signing year and over his career. Ville Husso did also have similar singing year stats to Korpisalo, along with a very similar number of games played in his signing year. While Husso had a higher career save percentage, Korpisalo had far more career experience. Either is a fairly accurate comparable, that would put Korpisalo close to $5M per year.

But there are also contracts that would put him much lower.

Jacob Markstrom’s deal acts as an excellent comparable, with nearly identical stats over both his signing year and his career. While he did have far less experience and a lower number of career games played, you won’t find any other comparable goalie with stats as close to Korpisalo’s.

Petr Mrazek is also another fairly good comparable. He was injured for a lot of his contract year, but was very good when he did play. Mrazek also had fairly similar career experience at the time of signing, but a career percentage that was much lower than his signing year save percentage. So between Markstrom and Mrazek, we have two comparables that would put him right around $4M per year, based on adjusted cap hits.

But then there are also deals that would put him even lower, like Jonathan Bernier’s contract. While you could argue Korpisalo’s .914 SV% was more valuable now than Bernier’s .913 SV% was five years ago (based on increased scoring), it’s not enough to say he’s definitively a more valuable goaltender, given the the similar career experience, a similar number of games played in his signing year and Bernier’s higher career save percentage. Then the likes of Thomas Greiss and Philipp Grubauer both had much better stats as well, which could put Korpisalo below $3.5M.

Other comparables that weren’t included based on age were recent deals for Alexandar Georgiev and Vitek Vanecek. Neither were solidified starters and both signed a three-year deal at a $3.4M cap hit.

Realistically, it’s a wide range of comparables for Korpisalo. He could get anywhere from just over $3M per year up to as much as $5M on a three-year deal, and there would be comparables to justify it.

I think we’ll probably see him in the middle of that range at $4M per year or a little more, but it could certainly be higher or lower.

---

2 YEARS

Aside from three years, two years is also a strong possibility for Korpisalo’s deal.

Player	Age at first year of deal	First Year Of Deal	SV%/GP in Signing Year	% of Games Started in Signing Year	SV%/GP over Career	Contract	Adjusted to $83.5M cap
Joonas Korpisalo	29	2023	914 (39GP)	48%	904 (221GP)
Jonathan Bernier	27	2015	912 (58GP)	71%	916 (175GP)	$4.15M 2 years	$4.85M 2 years
Darcy Kuemper	30	2020	925 (55GP)	67%	916 (186GP)	$4.50M 2 years	$4.61M 2 years
Steve Mason	29	2017	908 (58GP)	71%	911 (463GP)	$4.10M 2 years	$4.56M 2 years
Petr Mrazek	27	2019	914 (40GP)	49%	911 (223GP)	$3.13M 2 years	$3.21M 2 years
Jake Allen	31	2021	927 (24GP)	34%	913 (289GP)	$2.88M 2 years	$2.95M 2 years
Anders Nilsson	29	2019	908 (36GP)	44%	907 (141GP)	$2.60M 2 years	$2.66M 2 years

Looking at the comps, the three goalies above a $4.5M adjusted cap hit (Bernier, Kuemper and Mason), all played significantly more games than Korpisalo in their signing year, all at 55 games or above, compared to Korpisalo’s 39 games. They also had a much higher career save percentage, so we can assume Korpisalo’s deal isn’t coming in that high.

That said, Anders Nilsson posted a lower save percentage in his signing year, while Jake Allen started a lower percentage of games, so there’s certainly an argument that Korpisalo’s deal should come in at least at the $3M mark.

The best projection of the two-year comparables would be Petr Mrazek. Like Korpisalo, he was rebuilding his value after two tough seasons and posted an identical .914 save percentage, while almost the exact same number of games.

Again, scoring was up this year, with the league-average save percentage at just .904 this year compared to .910 when Mrazek signed his deal, so you could argue that Korpisalo’s stats were more valuable. Still, you shouldn’t see Korpisalo come in too far above Mrazek’s $3.2M adjusted cap hit, likely around $3.5M on a two-year deal.

---

1 YEAR

It seems unlikely Korpisalo would take a one-year deal, given he’ll almost surely be offered more term if he hits free agency, but we can see some comparables below.

Player	Age at first year of deal	First Year Of Deal	SV%/GP in Signing Year	% of Games Started in Signing Year	SV%/GP over Career	Contract	Adjusted to $83.5M cap
Joonas Korpisalo	29	2023	914 (39GP)	48%	904 (221GP)
Robin Lehner	28	2019	930 (46GP)	56%	918 (265GP)	$5.00M 1 year	$5.12M 1 year
Karri Ramo	29	2015	912 (34GP)	41%	905 (122GP)	$3.80M 1 year	$4.44M 1 year
Jonathan Bernier	29	2017	915 (39GP)	48%	915 (252GP)	$2.75M 1 year	$3.06M 1 year
Chad Johnson	31	2017	910 (36GP)	44%	915 (137GP)	$2.50M 1 year	$2.78M 1 year
Linus Ullmark	27	2020	915 (34GP)	49%	911 (97GP)	$2.60M 1 year	$2.66M 1 year

The one scenario where Korpisalo could opt for a one-year deal would be to bet on himself, coming off a great year. The reality is teams aren’t going to pay him a ton on any deal this offseason because he doesn’t have much of a sample size of high-end goaltending (and just had two brutal seasons in a row before this past year). However, if he signs with a team where he’ll be the clear starter with the opportunity to play 50 games or more and repeats his success, he could set himself up for a much larger pay day in 2024.

He’d likely have to settle for a lower cap hit, though. He didn’t have anywhere near the stats that Robin Lehner did in his signing year and while Karri Ramo’s deal does act as a fairly good comparable, it’s also from eight years ago and the other comps would put him in the $2.65M to $3.05M range. Linus Ullmark is a fairly decent, recent comparable, and while Korpisalo has quite a bit more experience and his deal won’t come in quite that low, a general range for a one-year deal is still visible. I can’t see it coming in below his $2.8M cap hit from his 2020 contract, but around $3M or a little more is possible.

---

Projection

I think projecting a term for Korpisalo’s deal is really about trying to anticipate how much of a risk teams feel the netminder carries. He’s coming off a great year, but he’s struggled at times throughout his career and most teams don’t bet on a goalie with a .904 career save percentage as their starter.

Korpisalo still has never even reached the 40-game mark in any season of his career. To this point, he’s been mostly a backup goalie.

As we saw though, the netminder does have a high ceiling and at his best, he can play like a legitimate starter.

So the most likely term, based on comparables, would be either two or three years.

Term	Projected Cap hit	Maximum Cap Hit	Minimum Cap Hit
3 years	$4.00M	$5.00M	$3.33M
2 years	$3.50M	$4.00M	$3.00M

That said, while unlikely, we could see Korpisalo’s deal come in as short as one year or as long as four years.

Term	Projected Cap hit	Maximum Cap Hit	Minimum Cap Hit
4 years	$4.75M	$5.25M	$4.50M
1 year	$3.00M	$3.50M	$2.65M