Geekie signed a long-term extension with the Boston Bruins, following a breakout season.

• Player Overview
• Comparables
• Final Analysis

The Boston Bruins signed Morgan Geekie to a six-year contract extension, carrying a $5.5 million cap hit. The deal comes with a full no-trade clause for the 2026-27 season, before becoming a partial no-trade clause for years two through five, per PuckPedia.com.

Below, we examine what kind of value the Bruins are getting with the deal.

Player Overview

Morgan Geekie was selected by the Carolina Hurricanes in the third round of the 2017 NHL Draft. Following his selection, the forward spent the 2017-18 season back in the WHL, before joining the AHL’s Charlotte Checkers for the following two seasons. Geekie did get a brief look with the Hurricanes late in the 2019-20 season, where he scored three goals across his first two games with the team, before the league was shut down due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

By the shortened 2021 COVID season, Geekie had taken on a semi-regular NHL role in the Hurricanes lineup, and posted three goals and nine points across 36 regular season games, before the forward was claimed by the Seattle Kraken in the 2021 Expansion Draft.

Over the two following seasons in Seattle, Geekie took a full-time spot on the team’s roster, but was only able to provide depth offense. Across 142 games with the team, Geekie managed 16 goals and 50 points – an 82-game pace of just nine goals and 29 points. As a result, Geekie didn’t receive a qualifying offer from the Kraken, and subsequently signed with the Boston Bruins in 2023.

With the Bruins, Geekie was able to grow his role and production in 2023-24. The forward saw his ice time rise by five minutes per game from the previous year, and scored 17 goals and 39 points in 76 games. However, it was this past season where Geekie’s game really took off. He scored 33 goals and 57 points in 77 games, crushing his previous career-highs from his first season in Boston.

Geekie is a hard-working forward, who can play both at center, or on the wing. He’s effective on the forecheck, and in addition to his production, he can use his size to win battles and play a physical game. Still only in his mid-20s and now signed to a six-year extension, Geekie has the ability to be one of the team’s most important forwards over the coming years.

Comparables

Below, we examine how Geekie’s deal compares to recent contracts for other forwards. For more information on the stats/tables used below, including how the payment rate in projections is determined, visit the About the Site page. With Geekie turning 27 years old this month, the comparables used will generally be forwards who signed their deal at a similar age. Note: ages listed in the table are based on a player’s age by Dec. 31 in the first year of their contract.

6 YEARS

Based on Geekie’s age and production, a six-year contract makes sense.

The table below uses a system of establishing a cost-per-points basis, using the middle ground between a player’s production over their signing year, and over their career. From there, a comparable player’s cap hit from the first year of their contract is applied to a $95.5M salary cap using the same percentage against the salary cap, and a payment rate can be established based on how much the player was paid compared to their production. Each contract can then project how much Geekie could’ve been expected to make, based on the same cost-per-points basis.

Based on the comps, only three of the 13 contracts would have projected Geekie’s value to be below $5.5M per year on a six-year deal. While obviously the top projections on the table of around $8M per year or more were unrealistic, there’s an argument that his value could’ve exceeded $5.5M per year, based on the number of comps projecting Geekie above that range.

At the same time, we also see that the players on the bottom half of the table often had a large discrepancy between their signing year production and career production, like Geekie. We can likely attribute this to teams being cautious of not handing out big-money deals to players who only had a single year of high production. Considering Geekie fits into this group of players, there’s an indication as to why his cap hit came in lower than a lot of the higher projections on the table.

At the same time, we also have a couple of comps above him on the table, who had the exact same production mid-point (50 points), in Nazem Kadri and Rickard Rakell. These deals would have projected Geekie to be at $5.8M and $5.9M respectively.

Meanwhile, there’s another group of three comps just above that mark that would’ve projected a deal for Geekie to come in between $6.35M and $6.5M per year. Of those comps, two of the three also had similarly low career produdciton (Jean-Gabriel Pageau and Nick Foligno).

So while Geekie was never likely to get a cap hit that was significantly higher than the $5.5M mark, there’s at least an argument that his value could’ve as high as the $6M mark on a six-year deal.

Final Analysis

Based on Geekie’s age and production, a six-year deal makes sense when examining his numbers against the comparables above.

A $5.5M cap hit also comes in lower than what a lot of comps would have projected. While Geekie’s cap hit was never going to come in towards the higher end of the projections on the table, there’s an argument that his value could’ve potentially been a bit higher on a six-year deal, possibly up to around $6M per year.