Analyzing Mason Lohrei’s two-year extension

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Lohrei signed a bridge deal with the Bruins in late June.


The Boston Bruins signed defenseman Mason Lohrei to a two-year contract extension, which carries a $3.2 million cap hit. Lohrei will be a restricted free agent when the deal expires in 2027.

Below, we take a look at what kind of value the Bruins are getting with the contract.


Player Overview

Selected 58th overall by the Boston Bruins in 2020, Mason Lohrei emerged as one of the organization’s top prospects over the next few years. Lohrei posted dominant numbers in his final USHL season with the Green Bay Gamblers in 2021, before putting together two strong years in the NCAA with Ohio State University.

Lohrei made the jump to professional hockey for the 2023-24 season, splitting time between the NHL and AHL. Then taking on a full-time role with the Bruins this past season, the defender posted an impressive 33 points in 77 games, while averaging over 19 minutes per game in ice time.

Lohrei ended up in a bigger role this year than was likely intended, given the injuries and trades impacting the team’s blue line. He could likely benefit from a bit more of a sheltered role in the short-term, but Lohrei has the tools to be a productive, top-four defensemen, and looks poised to become a long-term piece of the team’s defense group.


Comparables

Below we take a look at comparables for Lohrei’s two-year deal, to get a sense of whether it was an overpayment, an underpayment, or a fair deal. Comparables will generally include defensemen who were between 22 and 26 years old in the first year of their contract, with Lohrei now 24 years old.

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Each table will include the comparable defenders’ production and ice time in their signing year, and over their career. It’ll also include their cap hit in the first year of their contract, and their adjusted cap hit on an $95.5M salary cap.

2 YEARS

In signing Lohrei to a bridge deal, a two-year contract made the most sense for the Bruins, given a three-year contract would have walked the defenseman right to unrestricted free agency in 2028. Below is a group of comparables for two-year contracts of defenders the same age, to analyze where Lohrei’s value should have landed within this range.

PlayerAgeFirst Year
of Contract
Signing
Year P/82
Career
P/82
Signing
Year TOI
Career
TOI
ContractOn $95.5M
Cap Hit
Mason Lohrei24202535
77GP
32
118GP
19:3218:38
Tony DeAngelo25202064
68GP
43
200GP
19:1718:26$4.80M
2 years
$5.62M
2 years
Evan Bouchard24202340
82GP
40
184GP
18:3118:34$3.90M
2 years
$4.46M
2 years
K’Andre Miller23202345
214GP
29
214GP
21:5721:14$3.87M
2 years
$4.43M
2 years
Bowen Byram22202347
42GP
39
91GP
21:5319:54$3.85M
2 years
$4.40M
2 years
Thomas Harley23202449
79GP
37
119GP
21:0118:43$4.00M
2 years
$4.34M
2 years
Brandon Montour24201833
80GP
29
107GP
20:2819:41$3.38M
2 years
$4.06M
2 years
Jacob Trouba22201622
81GP
28
211GP
19:1918:54$3.00M
2 years
$3.92M
2 years
Darnell Nurse23201826
82GP
20
197GP
22:1520:19$3.20M
2 years
$3.84M
2 years
Travis Sanheim23201935
82GP
28
131GP
19:3418:04$3.25M
2 years
$3.81M
2 years
Josh Morrissey23201826
81GP
23
164GP
20:2719:57$3.15M
2 years
$3.78M
2 years
*Ryan Murray23201625
56GP
25
134GP
22:3120:54$2.83M
2 years
$3.70M
2 years
Cody Ceci23201628
75GP
22
205GP
19:1818:48$2.80M
2 years
$3.66M
2 years
Neal Pionk24201929
73GP
32
101GP
21:1021:30$3.00M
2 years
$3.52M
2 years
Matt Dumba22201626
81GP
24
152GP
16:5015:46$2.55M
2 years
$3.34M
2 years
Dante Fabbro23202125
40GP
18
108GP
19:1918:54$2.40M
2 years
$2.81M
2 years
Esa Lindell23201720
73GP
19
77GP
21:5221:28$2.20M
2 years
$2.80M
2 years
*Deal signed mid-season – Points/82 pace prior to signing are used for signing year stats.

Based on the comps, Lohrei’s production and/or ice time would put him below the comps from adjusted cap hits of $4M or above. At the same time, there’s an argument that his value could’ve been higher than the $3.2M per year that he signed for.

Lohrei had much better production than the two comps below a $3.2M adjusted cap hit, in Dante Fabbro and Esa Lindell. He also had similar ice time to Fabbro, and while Lindell’s usage was quite a bit higher, he also had the least career experience of any defender listed, which could have resulted in a bit of a lower cap hit.

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Then in terms of comps a bit higher, Lohrei had better numbers in every category than Matt Dumba ($3.34M adjusted cap hit). He also had better production than Cody Ceci ($3.66M adjusted cap hit) with fairly similar ice time, and was very similar to Travis Sanheim ($3.8M adjusted cap hit) in every category.

As a result, Lohrei’s cap hit comes in slightly lower than expected, with a strong argument that his value could’ve came in somewhere around the adjusted cap hits of Ceci and Sanheim, potentially somewhere around $3.75M per year.


While Lohrei signed a bridge deal, below is a look at what he could’ve potentially made on a longer deal.

6 YEARS

There’s been a bit of a shift away from defenders around Lohrei’s age taking six-year deals, but also there’s still a fairly large sample size over the last decade as a whole. Below are comps for a six-year contract.

PlayerAgeFirst Year
of Contract
Signing
Year P/82
Career
P/82
Signing
Year TOI
Career
TOI
ContractOn $95.5M
Cap Hit
Mason Lohrei24202535
77GP
32
118GP
19:3218:38
Cale Makar23202182
44GP
76
101GP
24:1922:27$9.00M
6 years
$10.55M
6 years
Quinn Hughes22202160
56GP
62
129GP
22:4822:08$7.85M
6 years
$9.20M
6 years
Ivan Provorov22201926
82GP
32
246GP
25:0723:45$6.75M
6 years
$7.91M
6 years
Seth Jones22201631
81GP
28
240GP
22:0520:32$5.40M
6 years
$7.06M
6 years
Rasmus Ristolainen22201641
82GP
27
194GP
25:1722:19$5.40M
6 years
$7.06M
6 years
Hampus Lindholm22201629
80GP
32
236GP
22:0021:04$5.25M
6 years
$6.87M
6 years
Esa Lindell25201932
82GP
26
239GP
24:2022:39$5.80M
6 years
$6.80M
6 years
Morgan Rielly22201636
82GP
32
236GP
23:1420:30$5.00M
6 years
$6.54M
6 years
Brady Skjei24201825
82GP
31
169GP
21:0219:12$5.25M
6 years
$6.31M
6 years
Noah Hanifin21201833
79GP
28
239GP
18:5218:14$4.90M
6 years
$5.89M
6 years
Shayne Gostisbehere24201742
76GP
49
142GP
19:3619:43$4.50M
6 years
$5.73M
6 years
Jakob Chychrun21201923
50GP
24
118GP
20:1518:11$4.60M
6 years
$5.39M
6 years
*OIli Maatta22201625
53GP
29
151GP
19:3619:11$4.08M
6 years
$5.34M
6 years
Rasmus Andersson24202026
70GP
21
160GP
19:5617:43$4.55M
6 years
$5.33M
6 years
Damon Severson23201732
80GP
28
203GP
20:2119:59$4.17M
6 years
$5.31M
6 years
John Marino24202121
52GP
30
108GP
20:4420:29$4.40M
6 years
$5.16M
6 years
Brett Pesce24201820
82GP
20
151GP
21:1220:05$4.03M
6 years
$4.84M
6 years
Brandon Carlo25202112
27GP
14
324GP
18:4320:13$4.10M
6 years
$4.80M
6 years

Lohrei’s ice time was quite a step down from all comps at a $6.5M adjusted cap hit and above, so we can expect that if he had signed a six-year deal instead, he’d likely be coming in below that mark.

That said, he does compare quite well to Noah Hanifin ($5.9M adjusted cap hit), and had slightly higher numbers in every category. That said, Lohrei also had half the career experience of Hanifin at the time of signing, which could point to his value still being a little below that mark.

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Lohrei does compare quite well to the four defenders between a $5.3M and $5.4M adjusted cap hit though, between Jakob Chychrun, Olli Maatta, Rasmus Andersson, and Damon Severson. So between these comps and Hanifin, Lohrei’s value on six-year deal could’ve landed somewhere around the $5.5M mark.


Final Analysis

A two-year deal makes sense for the Bruins, as the team will still hold the defender’s rights when his contract expires in 2027. His cap hit also comes in a little lower than expected, with his projected value based on the comps potentially being around the $3.75M mark.

If Lohrei had signed a longer-term deal, he could’ve obviously gotten a higher cap hit, with comps for a six-year deal pointing towards his value being around $5.5M per year at that term. That said, if Lohrei can round out his game a bit over the next two years and establish himself as a legitimate top-four defender over that period, he could end up in line for a much bigger deal in 2027.

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